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Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

I understand exaclty why you must throw out life expectancy and cost per citizen, these are hard fact that cannot be manipulated. The insistanance that healthcare systems and life expectancy are not directly related defies logic, but ignore it if you want.

In great Britian there are 25 deaths per 100000 and 19 per hundred thousand in US due to breast cancer according to the doctor in hte blog. The point is this small a variation can exist between states and regions in US or any healthcare system.

"But just comparing the US and the UK, and saying that the bigger number is ‘better’, misses a deeper truth.

As we’ve written before, the US uses the PSA blood test far more widely than we do in the UK – despite questions over how effective it is at spotting cancers that would actually kill, as opposed to those that cause no symptoms.As a result, the USA has one of the highest recorded rates of prostate cancer in the world.So although it’s undoubtedly ‘better’ at spotting prostate cancers, it’s also fair to say that some of these Americans will never die from their disease.

This ‘overdiagnosis’ inflates the survival statistics, at the expense of ‘overtreating’ men – which is expensive and can cause long-term side effects (which can need further treatment).

So you might just as well argue that the ‘91 per cent’ survival figure could be due to a system that overdiagnoses and overtreats prostate cancer, as opposed to saying our 51 per cent stat is due to poor healthcare in the UK. Bigger is not always better.

Finally, if you look at UK survival rates for early stage prostate cancer, a different picture emerges – men in the UK have a 98.6 per cent five-year survival rate. Clearly, whatever controversies surround the diagnosis of the disease, the NHS is doing a pretty good job of managing it when it’s detected early.

I included this doctors blog because I thought he explained it in a simple manner we could all understand. If you dont understand about the PSA and inflation of survival statistics I will provide more information late, suffice it for now to PSA is high profit, high false postiive and may or may not be beneficial to a system as a whole and definately costs a lot of money.

I have been pretty busy because it is midterm, but I do appreciate those of you who do include actual studites and dont resort to name calling immediately, this is really how we discuss topic and learn from each other. Well of course I dont know anything, but.......... I will get back to this tonight.
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

Mak, if this is supposed to clear something up, it didn't for me.
First, this appears to have been written by someone in UK, not here, do you have a source?
Second, the author states that 19 against 25 is a small amount (referring to breast cancer). 19 against 25 is 20%, not a small number if you are one of the 6.
Referring to prostate cancer, author seems to make the point that 91% against 51%, the 91 being due to overdiagnosis, and the 51 due to poor health care.

If you would provide a source, I will look it up and see if I can figure it out.
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

5 years.
Nahh.. I've already spoken on this issue too many times.
I think it's become like beating a dead horse at this point.
Some of us have already resolved our stance, but find ourselves amused at seeing it brought up time and again.

I agree with PG. I spent 35 years under the British National Health System and I've tried time and again to explain what is good and what is bad about it but at this point I don't have a stick or a dead horse. :smile:
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

Mak, to call ALE a fact is to show that you have no knowledge of what ALE actually is.
ALE is a statistical probability field based on changing value fields. Therefore, it can't be 'fact'. If any variable changes, the field probability changes.
To give an example, if 'death by misadventure' is removed, ALE jumps upward. The problem is, how do you calculate such deaths before they occur? Another variable is 'war deaths'. Some countries actually prohibit the inclusion for national statistical purposes such deaths. The US does not, but the last reliable 'war death' probability variables come from the Vietnam war.
Another little known, but quite true oddity is that ALE is made at the beginning of a generation, and thus cannot allow for advances in medicine, or changes in lifestyle.
It is true that there are ALE calculators used for those who have already lived past the 'danger years', but they are also only statistical probability. 'Danger years' are those below 30, by the way.
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

War deaths, really?
Yes, Mak, for ALE to be even close to accurate, all known causation's of death must be calculated. This includes 'war deaths'. Also known as combat losses and collateral damages.
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

just a one pound bag of m&m reeses pieces. Sure made a crashing sound.
 
Re: Don't get Cancer in the UK ~ what I fear about ObamaCare

Yeah, dogs and candy can sound like a buffalo herd. Unfortunately, as I have outlined, such figures are only probabilities. Since ALE is actually designed for actuarial purposes, it is a)somewhat pessimistic in its projections, and b) has never known to be accurate within 5 years.
Oh, and you can, using an ALE calculator, figure your own approximate, ALE. Mine is currently between 89-98 years. A figure I earnestly hope I won't have to make.
 
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