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TRUMP WINS: Better Off Than 2016 and 2024, Wins Popular Vote

300 H and H

300 H and H

Bronze Member
GOLD Patron
21:23 min


Rasmussen Reports
117K subscribers



Nov 2, 2024
The final numbers are in, and Rasmussen weighs in on what we may see next Tuesday.
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Vote early if you can. Much harder to cheat a written ballot. But most of all go and VOTE! :tiphat:
 

Expert Pollster Makes Bold 2024 Prediction | SHOCKING Blue State Trump Could FLIP: 'LANDSLIDE!'​

38:19 min.


Benny Johnson
2.54M subscribers
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NO COMPLACENCY Get out and VOTE!
 
I heard all that 4 years ago; the red wave.
Democrats have had almost 4 years to prefect their voting bs.
8 years ago they thought they had it down with Hillary. A big surprise for Hillary because she knew she was going to win. Remember her meltdown?
Then 4 years ago they barely made it but did.
Watch it be an undeniable bloodbath with Kumala taking ec and popular.
I'm not placing any bets.
 
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Reactions: Doc
waybomb said:
I heard all that 4 years ago; the red wave.
Democrats have had almost 4 years to prefect their voting bs.
8 years ago they thought they had it down with Hillary. A big surprise for Hillary because she knew she was going to win. Remember her meltdown?
Then 4 years ago they barely made it but did.
Watch it be an undeniable bloodbath with Kumala taking ec and popular.
I'm not placing any bets.
Click to expand...
Let me tell you why Trump is going to win as succinctly as I can. The polls were off between 3-7 points in favor of the Dem in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. If they're off anywhere near that again, Trump wins easily. And I can tell that they are off the same amount again.

The Dems' great hope is the belief that the polls have adjusted their methodology to actually be accurate this time in regards to how the votes will turn out. But, the polls have not adjusted their methodology, at least not enough. I know this because if they had, they would ALL have to have done it the same way, in synch, because they only vary by at most 4 points between them. It is highly unlikely then that they've ALL changed their methodology almost exactly the same because there are too many of them, they are independent of each other, and they don't coordinate their methodology.
 
Patriot said:
Let me tell you why Trump is going to win as succinctly as I can. The polls were off between 3-7 points in favor of the Dem in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. If they're off anywhere near that again, Trump wins easily. And I can tell that they are off the same amount again.

The Dems' great hope is the belief that the polls have adjusted their methodology to actually be accurate this time in regards to how the votes will turn out. But, the polls have not adjusted their methodology, at least not enough. I know this because if they had, they would ALL have to have done it the same way, in synch, because they only vary by at most 4 points between them. It is highly unlikely then that they've ALL changed their methodology almost exactly the same because there are too many of them, they are independent of each other, and they don't coordinate their methodology.
Click to expand...
I do hope you are spot on. But, like Fred, I would not bet on the outcome.

Dems always have something up their sleeve and they are not afraid to cheat. They've had four years to find even more sneaky slimy, not so obvious ways to get ballots added. I hate it. I hate that I even have to believe that could be a real possibility but I'd be a fool not be think it could happen again.
 
Polls mean nothing to me. I never engage with polsters.
I believe many on both sides can't stand them, leave false opinions, or just screw around.
They are annoying.
 
waybomb said:
Polls mean nothing to me. I never engage with polsters.
I believe many on both sides can't stand them, leave false opinions, or just screw around.
They are annoying.
Click to expand...
I respect your feelings about the polls, but they are tools that, when studied over time, can be good indicators. You'll see.
 
Doc said:
I do hope you are spot on. But, like Fred, I would not bet on the outcome.

Dems always have something up their sleeve and they are not afraid to cheat. They've had four years to find even more sneaky slimy, not so obvious ways to get ballots added. I hate it. I hate that I even have to believe that could be a real possibility but I'd be a fool not be think it could happen again.
Click to expand...
Yes, that Dems cheat should be the greatest concern. If it came down to just a few thousand votes, then we should be worried that they'll fudge the difference. My feeling is that it will be more than that, though, and they won't be able to cheat the difference. It will simply be Too Big to Rig.
 
waybomb said:
I heard all that 4 years ago; the red wave.
Democrats have had almost 4 years to prefect their voting bs.
8 years ago they thought they had it down with Hillary. A big surprise for Hillary because she knew she was going to win. Remember her meltdown?
Then 4 years ago they barely made it but did.
Watch it be an undeniable bloodbath with Kumala taking ec and popular.
I'm not placing any bets.
Click to expand...
What has changed Fred is the election rules. We are now for the most part back to pre-covid election rules.
the other big change is that courts are apparently glad to handle election law cases that are filed BEFORE the election.
That was simply not the case in 2020 as the courts were only asked to get involved after the election.
Early voting leads in many red states is what a Republican does to ensure no voting machine will steal their votes.
Trump has never underperformed the polls in an actual election.
Not saying it is in the bag, but the field is not so tilted this time. Low propensity voters will likely turn out for Trump as
they did in 2020 and those are impossible to poll.
 
Last edited:
300 H and H said:
... Early voting leads in many red states is what a Republican does to ensure no voting machine will steal their votes.
Trump has never underperformed the polls in an actual election.
Not saying it is in the bag, but the field is not so tilted this time. Low propensity voters will likely turn out for Trump as
they did in 2020 and those are impossible to poll.
Click to expand...
I sincerely hope this is correct.

I see signs that it may be correct.

But I can't underestimate the "steal" and the levels they will go through to make the steal happen.

Media is in total dysfunction and disinformation mode. Even FOX has moved left. But traditional broadcast and cable media sources, in conjunction with traditional print media, are practicing "advocacy" journalism, which is not journalism at all. It is shilling for one party, and that party is fully liberal.

Several states have unsecured drop boxes.

Harris lawyer Mark Alias and the ACLU and, literally, 100's of others are suing to keep the voter rolls from being purged, to keep illegals on the voter roles, to extend acceptance of mail in and absentee votes well past the actual voting date.

Several states allow submission of ballots after the election day.

While SOME states have tightened up their voter integrity, other states automatically mail out ballots to people with driver's licenses.

I'm cautiously optimistic that the polling data is under counting Trump support. But I'm seriously concerned that it will not be by enough to stop the steal. Pray for the best. Plan for the worst.
 
Melensdad said:
I sincerely hope this is correct.

I see signs that it may be correct.

But I can't underestimate the "steal" and the levels they will go through to make the steal happen.

Media is in total dysfunction and disinformation mode. Even FOX has moved left. But traditional broadcast and cable media sources, in conjunction with traditional print media, are practicing "advocacy" journalism, which is not journalism at all. It is shilling for one party, and that party is fully liberal.

Several states have unsecured drop boxes.

Harris lawyer Mark Alias and the ACLU and, literally, 100's of others are suing to keep the voter rolls from being purged, to keep illegals on the voter roles, to extend acceptance of mail in and absentee votes well past the actual voting date.

Several states allow submission of ballots after the election day.

While SOME states have tightened up their voter integrity, other states automatically mail out ballots to people with driver's licenses.

I'm cautiously optimistic that the polling data is under counting Trump support. But I'm seriously concerned that it will not be by enough to stop the steal. Pray for the best. Plan for the worst.
Click to expand...
All of your concerns are well known, and steps are being taken to ensure election integrity, much more so than in 2020, so it will be hard to commit fraud, and nearly impossible to commit fraud to the level needed to overcome Trump's numbers this time.
 
Patriot said:
All of your concerns are well known, and steps are being taken to ensure election integrity, much more so than in 2020, so it will be hard to commit fraud, and nearly impossible to commit fraud to the level needed to overcome Trump's numbers this time.
Click to expand...
You are very optimistic.

In some blue states and with blue cities I have no doubts that there will be issues.

We've already seen many alleged attempts and some have been allegedly successful this year.
 
Melensdad said:
You are very optimistic.

In some blue states and with blue cities I have no doubts that there will be issues.

We've already seen many alleged attempts and some have been allegedly successful this year.
Click to expand...
What I'm really looking forward to this time is, because of the hyper vigilance of the poll watchers etc., that we will catch a lot of the fraud attempts in the act, and have undeniable proof. It would make Trump's victory all the sweeter to show that he did it despite their clear efforts to cheat.
 
GOP Poll watchers have already been kicked out of some Pennsylvania polling locations.
 
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